Reviewing trades offers the opportunity to unpack the impact of random probability upon a sequence of trading events. An extremely simplified view of probability theory
relative to trading goes something like this:
A prolonged sequence of futures (or FX, equities, cryptos – pick your poison) trades with a fixed $1000 profit target and a fixed risk of $1000 (normalized for underlying trends) should produce profits in 50% of the trades. A net loss would occur over time due to trading fees.
A prolonged sequence of futures trades with a fixed $2000 profit
The daily chart of Apr Gas Oil (diesel) completed a H&S bottom on Wednesday. Factor is long. I entered this market because its horizontal neckline and right shoulder were clearer than the necklines and right shoulders on the Brent and WTI charts.
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Soft-Commodities-wheat-factor-trading-Peter-Brandt.jpg8881333Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Factor-Research-Trading-Services-300x79-300x79.pngPeter Brandt2019-02-04 09:07:222019-02-04 09:07:22Soft Commodities are Shaping Up
From our Member Q&A archives we believe you will find interesting. How should a part-time trader manage what can be a full-time job trading to be successful. How does Peter manage his trading schedule?
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/schedules.jpg9621444Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Factor-Research-Trading-Services-300x79-300x79.pngPeter Brandt2019-01-15 16:34:482019-01-15 16:36:30Thought's of a Full Time Trader