Factor Trade Set-Ups for Week of July 30 2023
As of Sunday, Jul 30, three setups are being considered: Natural Gas futures, EuroStoxx futures, Ultra 10-Yr Note futures.
Tag Archive for: Copper
Factor-Trade-Set-Ups-for-Week-of-July-30-2023.pdfFactor Update, January 21-22, 2023
Fractals 101: The entire concept of classical charting is based on fractals – that patterns have the tendency to reappear in across time, different asset classes and different time frames. Here is an exceptional example of a similar chart construction in different time frames in the same market – Bitcoin…
Factor Update, January 14-15, 2023
Trades are setting up in Rapeseed, Russell, Platinum, Aussie Treasuries, Bitcoin, GBP/CHF, NZD/USD, Matif Corn, Euribor, Soybean Meal and Rough Rice.
Factor Report Update, January 7-8, 2023
Trading commentary: My observation is that traders tend to invest too much intellectual and emotional capital in each trade, as if:
- A trade is a direct reflection of one’s ability/intellect
- The next trade or series of trades will determine one’s future as market speculator
To which I say … that’s nonsense!!!!
Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, May 21/22, 2022
Aug Soybeans, Dow Jones Composite, Canadian Dollars, Brazilian Real, Gold, Jul Crude Oil, Copper, U.S. Dollar Index, Jul London Coffee, Natural Gas, Treasuries, XLV, Corn
Abbreviated Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, May 14 – 15, 2022
Aug Soybeans, Jul Crude Oil, Jul London Coffee, Natural Gas, Copper, EuroFX futures, KC Wheat, U.S. Dollar Index
Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, April 15-16 2022
Nat Gas, Soybean Meal, NASDAQ, Copper, July Corn, Gold, Dec Soybean Oil, U.S. Dollar Index, Oct Sugar, Brazilian Real futures, Deere & Co, BRK.B, Japanese Yen, FCX, EuroFX futures, Walmart
Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, March 5/6, 2022
Markets of interest
The composite risk of an entire portfolio or grouping of trades can be measured in two ways:
- Initial risk at the time of entering trades
- Current risk using revised protective stop levelsEven though I might have moved stops to BE (or even a locked-in profit) on trades, I still consider composite initial risk because it better reflects how much asset volatility I would be experienced if a trend reversal occurs in my portfolio.As a general rule I limit my composite initial risk on a portfolio of highly correlated positions to 200 BPs max. At the present time my composite initial BP risk on metals and mineral positions is greater than 300 BPs. This means that a broad reversal in these positions would not be fun. I cannot remember the last time I had as many highly correlated positions.
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Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, February 12/13, 2022
It is no fun when some really good trades (interest rate markets, grains) must cover the losses of other trades, but that is how it works. Periodically I have a week when all cylinders are firing, but that is the exception.
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Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, February 5/6, 2022
Markets of interest…
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Peter Brandt’s Charting Tool
Peter’s Crypto Coverage
