Tag Archive for: Currencies

Special Factor Weekend Update July 22-23 2023

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Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, June 4-5, 2022

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Factor Report charts on my radar screen for week of July 6, 2020

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Currency Review

(This is a short excerpt from the past weekend premium member report published Friday the 28th)

GBP/JPY (spot)

A continuation rectangle was completed on Friday. I missed this trade. I did not get the order in. Read More

Down in Latin America

(This is an excerpt from the past weekend premium member report published last Friday morning the 27th)


Mexican Peso futures

Peso futures have been in a bear trend during my entire trading career. The decline on the long-term charts has taken the form of repeated symmetrical triangles. The weekly futures chart is coiling. There are two caveats to a short side trade: Symmetrical triangles that continue past the 70% market toward the apex should not be trusted and this is an extremely negative carry trade with each successive futures contract priced at a lower price. The G6M-066 chart shows that traders constantly long the nearby Peso contracts and rolling at expiration have a positive return since early 2017. I will monitor this market but prefer the Brazilian Real.






Brazilian Real futures

I have a greater interest in the Real than in the Peso. The weekly chart displays a massive descending triangle on the futures chart, traded in terms of the USD value of the Real (and a Cup and Handle on the spot graph, traded in terms of the number of Real per one USD). Based on CME settlement data as of Sep 26, the theoretical negative carry is approximately -300 BPs annualized.





Factor Membership


Peter Brandt is a 40+ year veteran of trading. Through his Factor Service, members receive:

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Factor Update, June 22, 2018

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