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Factor Alert, July 25, 2017 — A turn in the U.S. Dollar?

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Topix Nikkei Dow - Peter Brandt - Factor Trading

Topix (and Nikkei Dow)

Continuation patterns continue to develop in the Japanese stock market indexes. The Topix Index traded in Osaka (TSE) displays a 12-week continuation rectangle (Mar 2 was an out-of-line movement). While the measured target in Topix is 1633, a swing target of 1775 is possible. Read More

Factor Update, March 5, 2017

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Gold Yen Ratio

Correlation of Japanese Yen with Gold

Gold Yen Correlation

Conventional wisdom has been abuzz lately about the Gold Yen Correlation. The two charts below are courtesy of my friend James Cutting of Nautilus Capital. Indeed, on the basis of a 63-day Gold Yen Correlation (I have no idea how James determines these time periods) there is presently a .85 correlation between the two markets. The second chart in this series shows that since 2013 there has been a fairly consistent correlation of at least .50 between the markets.   Yen Gold Correlation 2- Factor Trading - Peter Brandt Read More

Factor Update, February 12, 2017

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Yen Chart - Peter Brandt

Yen Chart – Textbook Market

Yen Chart – Textbook Market

 

The Yen Chart is a textbook charting market – it has a long history of providing very reliable pattern signals, as shown on the weekly chart dating back to early 2011.

 

Yen Chart - Textbook Market - Peter Brandt - Factor

The advance on Oct 4 appears to have completed a possible 16-week symmetrical triangle bottom – remember that the symmetrical triangle pattern is far less reliable than horizontal patterns such as the H&S, rectangle and right angle-triangles. In order to be confirmed, a breakout of a symmetrical triangle bottom needs a decisive close above the last intermediate high in the triangle – marked as point #4 at 104.32 on the daily graph. A confirmed breakout on the Yen Chart would have a minimum target of 109.

 Yen Chart - Textbook Market - Peter Brandt - Factor

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Factor Trading - An Introduction

 
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Japanese Yen Alert

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Factor Update, May 1st

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Factor Update – April 9th

 

Factor Update - April 9th

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