Peter Brandt’s Public Blog – Page 11 – Peter Brandt

Global Equity Markets

June 4, 2019/by Peter Brandt

The S&P cumulative A/D line is rolling over – the type of rollover experienced in the 4th quarter of 2018 is still not visible. Most Global Equity Markets are in strong down-trends or completed significant top patterns this past week.

Who is More Precious

April 10, 2019/by Peter Brandt

The possibility of a massive inverted H&S pattern on the monthly graph is noted once again. The daily chart displays a small H&S top pattern. A completion of this H&S top would do some damage to the near-term bullish case.

Understanding Trading Outcomes

March 18, 2019/by Peter Brandt

Reviewing trades offers the opportunity to unpack the impact of random probability upon a sequence of trading events. An extremely simplified view of probability theory
relative to trading goes something like this:

A prolonged sequence of futures (or FX, equities, cryptos – pick your poison) trades with a fixed $1000 profit target and a fixed risk of $1000 (normalized for underlying trends) should produce profits in 50% of the trades. A net loss would occur over time due to trading fees.
A prolonged sequence of futures trades with a fixed $2000 profit

Discussion on Trading Drawdowns

March 4, 2019/by Peter Brandt

The following video comes from one of our Factor Member Webinars where Peter discusses Trading Drawdowns.

Some Energy

February 20, 2019/by Peter Brandt

The daily chart of Apr Gas Oil (diesel) completed a H&S bottom on Wednesday. Factor is long. I entered this market because its horizontal neckline and right shoulder were clearer than the necklines and right shoulders on the Brent and WTI charts.