Factor Member webinar and Q&A with Peter L. Brandt - Recorded live July 6, 2017Opening Market Review with Peter
For this webinar Peter will go through his process of reviewing charts, identifying candidate trades for the period ahead, determining tactical considerations and entering orders.
Live questions from Members
Could you talk more about your data feed, Trade Navigator. Do you import from other feeds as well? Why do you like it? 35:24
Please make a quick follow up on the ED6vsED12 trade opportunity. 37:17
You noted the possible move up in Wheat a few weeks ago. Was the pattern for the upturn that evident versus what you had seen for the last few months? 38:50
I have a question on the below point that Peter made in his blog — “Never, I mean never, place resting stop orders in the overnight markets. Limit orders are ok. The overnight market represents a den of thieves.” Please explain 43:18
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/Member-only-QA-this-Thursday-February-9th-at-11am-Mountain.jpg523800Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2017-07-07 12:01:072017-10-27 14:31:04Factor Member July 2017 Webinar and Q&A
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/Screen-Shot-2017-10-24-at-6.49.17-AM.png111344Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2017-05-23 07:13:502017-10-24 07:54:54The Economic Times May 23, 2017
Factor Member Q&A with Peter L. Brandt - Recorded live May 11, 2017Opening discussion/presentation by Peter
Factor Tracking Account Update
Current Market Conditions
Live questions from Members
You used to report your prop account trading but no longer do so. Do you plan to provide this information again? 15:09
In your vast experience is it best to: 1. Buy a partial position in anticipation of a break out? 2. Enter a buy stop just above the break out point? 3. Wait for the 3% close above the ice line and enter at the end of the day this occurs? 17:01
Referring to the Portugal PSI-20 Index analysis published by FACTOR: Why is the 17 year bear market close to an end if the trendline hasn't been broken yet? What characteristics is Factor seeing on the triangle pattern to validate a break on the respective down-trendline? 21:01
FACTOR published a chart regarding EUR/GBP in February. Head and shoulders weekly structure seems to be completed, whats your opinion about this trade? Is this head and shoulder formation still valid? 23:17
About the Ripple (XRP) Cryptocoin: Major banks and financial institutions are really interested in this cryptocoin and they are even testing it on big transactions. Do you see a huge buy opportunity in here? Or do you think it will be a pump and dump situation? 25:33
Your thoughts on the gap in NZD/USD? 26:53
Which vendor would you recommend to trade Forex? No, of course to IB. 28:43
How do you manage a runaway profitable position (e.g., bitcoin)? Take all profits at a target price or sell in increments (e.g., 10% @ x, 10% @ y)? 30:49
How do you deal with a situation where two charts are telling you two different stories about something specific? If we can use a recent experience as an example. The dollar index looked bullish to me (descending wedge), whilst the EUR/USD chart also looked bullish to me (recent break higher). Do you: A) Trade both? B) Trade neither? C) Make a decision as to the more compelling trade and trade that one only? 33:11
I trade across multiple asset classes. The one that I am least familiar with is the commodity market. Are there any specific nuances to the way this market trades that stand out to you as important to understand as contrasted with other markets to help guide my trading here? 35:41
In recent Factor updates, you review the UBS AG@NYSE chart. I had to play around with the “unsplitting” of the prices….this is not something I recall being mentioned in determining the appropriate view of any charts. What is the significance of split versus unspilt prices? How would a trader know when this might be factor in the version the chart being viewed? 39:18
Do you know what percent of your members trade full time? 43:25
You wrote that grain markets are in a long bottoming process. What patterns, signals or clues do you look at during the coming weeks to confirm that bottom is completed? 44:46
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/Member-only-QA-this-Thursday-February-9th-at-11am-Mountain.jpg523800Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2017-05-18 15:37:072017-10-27 14:32:15Factor Member May 2017 Webinar
In last months Q&A, you mentioned having reduced the trades from 20 to about 8 per month (you have noted this a number of times before of course) due to the break outs not being as successful in years past. You have resorted to 10+ week patterns. Based on that, does it stand to reason there is a substantial lessening in the amount of money that can be made trading classical patterns vs. years ago? 24:49
In trading grains (corn, soybeans, wheat), is seasonality a useful information? Does Peter rely on such data in addition to classical charting? 26:34
There is an alert on TLT which says a close above 123.31 is the trigger. Should a limit order to buy be placed at 123.31 with the target being 128.93 as shown on the alert or do you wait for the close to be above 123.31? I do not see a recommended stop, so I would think it to be the double bottom around 123. 28:39
What’s your view on Sugar? 32:12
Gold has broken up this week and USDJPY has broken down — the negative correlation between gold and USDJPY continues. How much longer do you think this correlation will continue? 34:05
From observing your approach, you seem to primarily trade trends. Have you every thought about trading ranges? 35:09
What do you think of EUR/SGD? 36:22
As a discretionary trader, how can I know I have an edge? As a chart pattern trader, do I need to do the backtest? 37:43
Do you believe the markets are or can be manipulated by the "market makers"? Do you consider this in your trading? 39:03
Is there a way to trade volatility? Surely, it will lift significantly at some point, VIX? 40:31
Lets say with intro of quants and computer programs to do the trading, do you believe chart patterns is becoming obsolete. In old times, market was 100% psychology but computer and quants take psychology out of market and their share of trading is increasing, would patterns still be relevant in future? 41:11
Bonds broke out to the upside and small caps look weak. But you're not in either? 42:25
You spoke glowingly about your being able to have a life as a trader. You have also mentioned it is now very competitive to trade. Would you then recommend that an individual in 2017 make a career of being a trader as you are? 43:18
Would it be helpful to learn a programming language to be able script simulations on potential filters, rules, etc. 44:43
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/Member-only-QA-this-Thursday-February-9th-at-11am-Mountain.jpg523800Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2017-04-20 22:13:172017-10-27 14:32:59Factor Member April 2017 Webinar
Factor Member Q&A with Peter L. Brandt - Recorded live March 8, 2017
Opening discussion/presentation by Peter - Drawdowns
Live questions from Members
You're measuring DD on closed equity based on weekly closes? 22:23
What do you think the bottom for WTI oil is? 24:18
When you wait for a market to close beyond the boundary of a technical formation, do you actually execute the trade on the open of the following day? Or do you execute it just a few minutes prior to the closing bell? 26:02
You mentioned that you cap your risk to about 100bps per trade. Do you also have a limit on the aggregate risk for the whole portfolio, say 1,000bps or 1,500bps etc? 29:27
If the market touches your stop so briefly that only a part of your position is closed out but then quickly reverses direction and moves in your favor again, do you keep holding your remaining position or do you close it now, at the somewhat-better-than-stop price? 31:08
Do you always have a stoploss order entered during the day for every position? Do you worry about your stops getting runned by the computer trading? 32:03
What was it that made you go long on the FTSE 100 recently? The breaking of the new high or did you get in prior to this? 34:02
In your latest book you say, you have additional quality requirements to diagonal patterns. Which are those and how do they compare in quality to horizontal — i.e. possible to reach similar quality with diagonal patterns as with 10W horizontal or 6-8W continuation pattern? 35:06
On the stop loss: does make sense to use tec level for Stop loss and or volatility determined stop loss? 36:38
What is your view about the effect of computer/algo trading on chart pattern-based trading over the next several years? 37:17
How often do you use commitment of traders data? How important is it to confirm your chart reading? 38:08
What does "record" mean when you referred to record spec longs and record commercial shorts in the COT data? Does it mean the highest number for the period you're looking at or does it mean the highest number of all time? 39:37
You mentioned that you prefer to trade futures over FX. However, in your 2016 Factor Tracking account, spot forex was traded more often than their futures equivalent. Why is that? 40:15
What securities/assets do you EXCLUDE in calculating your Total Trading Capital? Can those assets included in Total Trading Capital be invested in other things or trading strategies, or should they be sitting in cash with zero risk exposure? 41:16
How many tightly correlated markets do you allow yourself to trade in the same direction simultaneously? For example short Yen and short Gold? 43:00
With respect to equities do you ever care about valuations or do you just use your process and focus purely on charts. I just don't want to be left holding the bag. 43:54
When you miss a trade do you often trade the retest and if you do, do you put on the trade at the boundary line or a certain % above the boundary line. 44:33
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/Member-only-QA-this-Thursday-February-9th-at-11am-Mountain.jpg523800Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2017-03-17 08:09:582017-10-27 14:33:41Factor Member March 2017 Webinar
Factor Member July 2017 Webinar and Q&A
/by Peter BrandtThe Economic Times May 23, 2017
/by Peter BrandtFactor Member May 2017 Webinar
/by Peter BrandtFactor Member April 2017 Webinar
/by Peter BrandtFactor Member March 2017 Webinar
/by Peter BrandtOpening discussion/presentation by Peter - Drawdowns
Live questions from Members