Cotton is a member of the notorious New York "C" gang of thieves -- Cotton, Copper, Cocoa and Coffee. The NY Cs are very difficult markets to trade using classical charting principles. These markets periodically offer excellent chart signals (such as just occurred in Copper) -- but as a rule most classical patterns in the C-markets provide frustration.
There are several technical features of EUR/USD that traders should be aware of at this point in time.
The dominant chart construction in this stock is the 16-month H&S bottom on the weekly chart. A decisive move and close above 14.70 will be my signal to buy. Factor is flat.
EUR/USD
The decline on Friday (with the follow-through today) has completed a 9-month H&S top pattern, setting up a test of the lower boundary of a 20-month consolidation. As mentioned by the November 13, 2016 Factor Update, I view this H&S as the possible launching pad for the completion of the larger congestion area.
The possibility of a 15- month H&S bottom on the weekly chart has given way to two very different Crude Oil Possibilities:
(1.) An “end-around” the 12-week symmetrical triangle, or
(2.) Substantially greater morphing of the chart. I favor the “morphing” option.
Under this option, prices could trade back into the mid-$30s. The weekly continuation chart shown is based on a roll-at-first notice date.
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This content is for members only
This content is for members only
This content is for members only
This content is for members only
