Entries by Peter Brandt

Explaining the Dominant Fundamental Factor

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Dominant Fundamental Factor

I have a theory about the U.S. stock market (and all other markets). I have no idea if I am right or wrong, but I believe with all my heart I am right.

The theory is that there is only one major fundamental or global macro factor (at the outside, maybe two) that drives a major trend in the U.S. stock market. I call this theory the "Dominant Fundamental Factor."

All the other apparently important fundamental factors just create confusion and market noise.

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Factor Alert – Ignorance is not bliss

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Ignorance is not bliss -- especially when trading speculative markets

 

Many questions from members to the Factor Service have been received in recent days. I appreciate your questions and feedback and only wish I could answer each and every question posed. Please know that Factor staff reviews every single email received.
Sometimes I am right on markets and trading ideas, sometimes I am wrong -- welcome to trading. But I promise you I will always express my opinions as directly and truthfully as I know how.

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Factor Alert – NZD/JPY

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This is a forex cross I have been watching for the past four months.
The cross has remained in a broad trading range of 45.00 (means 45 Yen per NZD) to 96.00, as shown on the monthly graph.

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Losing to Win

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I sometimes sense from email correspondence I receive from the Factor community that there is an obsession in being “Right” when trading, or put another way, concern that their analysis might be “wrong.”

Running the risk of offending, this worry about being right or wrong on a trade or an analysis puts up a major red flag in my mind.

Factor Alert – March 30th

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Factor Alert - March 30th

 

Note:  Report publish to current members (Feb 29th).
There are a few charts of interest developing this week.
New Zealand Dollar. This chart appears to be completing a common bottom on the weekly and daily graphs. A decisive close above the Oct 2015 high would complete this base area and establish a target of .7470, although resistance should be expected at the Feb 2015 low of .7147. This is a possible Factor Move.

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