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Perfect Soybean Oil

November 29, 2016/by Peter Brandt

Soybean Oil futures

  This blog post is relation to the H&S Soybean Oil pattern identified within the post from September 12th https://www.peterlbrandt.com/soybean-oil-next/ The weekly Soybean Oil continuation graph has completed one of the most perfect textbook H&S bottom patterns I have seen in 41 years following futures markets.   Perfect Soybean Oil - Factor Trading - Peter Brandt Read More
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Perfect-Soybean-Oil-Peter-brandt.jpg 885 1333 Peter Brandt https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpg Peter Brandt2016-11-29 08:47:022016-11-29 08:56:48Perfect Soybean Oil
CFTC COT Data - Factor Trading - Peter Brandt

CFTC COT Data – A discussion

November 21, 2016/by Peter Brandt

CFTC COT Data – A discussion

As a trader, I have gone months and even years paying little attention to the composition of open interest as reported each week by the CFTC’s Commitment of Traders data (COT).  I have covered the topic of CFTC COT Data recently, only because a number of markets have experienced all-time record levels of spec long and commercial short positions. In a recent Factor update, I even raised the question of whether the old book on how to interpret COT data might be thrown away – that we might have entered a new and different era. Evidence now indicates that the old book and understanding of CFTC COT data still applies – that record levels of spec longs and commercial shorts is a reason for concern. The charts below show some recent and current markets exhibiting CFTC COT extremes. In the cases of Soybean Oil, Sugar, Gold, Silver, Cotton, Copper and Crude Oil, record COT spec long positions led to significant market sell offs. It should be noted that Soybean Oil, Sugar, Cotton, Coffee and Copper are still at COT extremes, indicating that additional selling pressure is likely. Please do not misunderstand me to be saying that record spec long positions MUST always lead to price declines. This is NOT the case. There have been times in the past when commercials have been forced to capitulate. For example, the monthly Copper chart (bottom chart featured) shows that a COT profile similar to the current profile resulted in an historic advance starting in Sep 2003.   CFTC COT Data - Factor Trading - Peter Brandt - Gold Read More
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/CFTC-COT-Data.jpg 733 1333 Peter Brandt https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpg Peter Brandt2016-11-21 09:49:332016-11-21 09:49:33CFTC COT Data – A discussion

A Market Wizards Dialogue

November 17, 2016/by Peter Brandt

A Market Wizards Dialogue - Jack Schwager - Peter Brandt Interview - Part 1

Below is the first of a three part interview with Jack Schwager Market Wizards author and Peter Brandt CEO and founder of Factor Trading.  We sincerely hope you enjoy and receive great value from all of our free content.   Read More
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/Screen-Shot-2017-11-28-at-7.32.38-AM-1.png 200 590 Peter Brandt https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpg Peter Brandt2016-11-17 18:30:042021-02-05 08:12:38A Market Wizards Dialogue

Freeport McMoran (FCX) (Trade Idea)

November 15, 2016/by Peter Brandt

The dominant chart construction in this stock is the 16-month H&S bottom on the weekly chart. A decisive move and close above 14.70 will be my signal to buy. Factor is flat.

Read more
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Freeport-Mcmoran.jpg 565 1333 Peter Brandt https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpg Peter Brandt2016-11-15 15:02:042016-11-15 15:02:04Freeport McMoran (FCX) (Trade Idea)
Crude Oil

Crude Oil – Possibilities

November 14, 2016/by Peter Brandt

Crude Oil - Possibilities

The possibility of a 15- month H&S bottom on the weekly chart has given way to two very different Crude Oil Possibilities: (1.) An “end-around” the 12-week symmetrical triangle, or (2.) Substantially greater morphing of the chart. I favor the “morphing” option. Under this option, prices could trade back into the mid-$30s.  The weekly continuation chart shown is based on a roll-at-first notice date.   Read More
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Crude-Oil-Descending-Peter-Brandt-Factor.jpg 888 1333 Peter Brandt https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpg Peter Brandt2016-11-14 10:26:172016-11-14 10:26:17Crude Oil – Possibilities

October Webinar Recording

November 2, 2016/by Peter Brandt

October Webinar Recording

This webinar was recorded live October 13, 2016 for members of the Factor Service.  We are releasing this month's webinar (one time only) as a public blog post for all to see.  More information on the content and discussion points of the webinar can be found below the video.  Details regarding the Factor Service can be found near the bottom of this post. Read More
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/webinar.jpg 833 1250 Peter Brandt https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpg Peter Brandt2016-11-02 10:31:282017-10-27 14:38:45October Webinar Recording
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