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ABX Could be Leading Gold
/by Peter BrandtThe daily graph on ABX (Barrick Gold) displays a possible 7-week continuation H&S pattern. Price broke out of this H&S on Friday, triggering a potential target on ABX of $18.14.
All Fired Up
/by Peter BrandtThis will be on the 2018 Best Dressed List. The daily continuation graph fro Natural Gas displays a possible half-mast coil with a target of 6.1xx.
Industrials Softening
/by Peter BrandtSome Industrials are acting soft here. For Copper, a decisive decline below 264 would complete a H&S failure pattern with a target of 235. I believe that the decline on Friday was a Wyckoff Sign of Weakness day – and Friday’s high should not be penetrated. I am willing to short Copper if the market provides a measured-risk opportunity.
Being Wrong or Getting Stopped out of a Trade is Fine
/by Peter BrandtGetting stopped out of a trade only to have it work
I receive many inquiries from Factor Members on the subject of getting stopped out of a trade only to have it turn around immediately and work. This has happened to me hundreds of times over the years. Does it bother me?
NO!
It once did – but I matured as a trader. Getting Stopped out of a trade only to have it work is the price to pay for protecting trading capital. It comes with the territory. It is the cost of being a
good risk manager. I put getting stopped into the following perspective:
• The overwhelming proportion of my net profits as a career trader have come from trades that never experienced
World Stock Markets Are Turning Over
/by Peter BrandtDAX
The German DAX has completed a H&S top with a down slanted neckline on the weekly chart. H&S tops with down slanted necklines are generally more reliable and powerful than H&S tops with an up slanted neckline.
An Interest Rate Generational Low
/by Peter BrandtA Generational Low?
Two chart observations are worthy of note. First, the advance this past week in yields completed a 4+ year H&S bottom on the weekly chart with targets of 4.37% and 5.03%. Second, the advance this past week also penetrated the upper boundary of a multi-decade channel. It is my belief that an Interest Rate Generational Low has been confirmed in yields.
I know my sweet spot. Every trader should strive to know his or her sweet spot.
We should strive to only take a trade when the market set up is in our sweet spot.
We should strive to avoid trades out of our sweet spot.