Peter Brandt’s Charting Tool
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Recent Posts:
- FREE ChartWizards UpdateMay 4, 2026 - 1:00 pm
Massive bull move coming in grain markets?April 27, 2026 - 6:11 pm
Factor Weekly Update, March 21, 2026 – Sample Weekly ReportMarch 24, 2026 - 3:44 pm
The January Effect 2026 EditionMarch 10, 2026 - 3:22 pm
Explaining the Dominant Fundamental Factor
/by Peter BrandtAll day long we witness market “experts,” brokerage firm research analysts, the talking heads on CBNC and Bloomberg and participants in social media (Twitter, private chat rooms, et al) present this fundamental data or that fundamental data as the factors they feel should be driving market prices. In 95% of the cases, the fundamentals presented by these voices are unimportant — the facts may be correct, but the fundamentals behind the facts presented are not “market drivers.”
Traders and analysts develop the opinion that the things they focus on are really important drivers of price.
Cost of Silver production
Fed policy
Employment data
Consumer optimism
Factory production
Rail traffic
Earnings
Corporate, private and government debt trends
Webinar – Factor Trading
/by Peter BrandtLosing to Win
/by Peter BrandtI sometimes sense from email correspondence I receive from the Factor community that there is an obsession in being “Right” when trading, or put another way, concern that their analysis might be “wrong.”
Running the risk of offending, this worry about being right or wrong on a trade or an analysis puts up a major red flag in my mind.
Factor Alert – March 30th
/by Peter BrandtThere are a few charts of interest developing this week.
New Zealand Dollar. This chart appears to be completing a common bottom on the weekly and daily graphs. A decisive close above the Oct 2015 high would complete this base area and establish a target of .7470, although resistance should be expected at the Feb 2015 low of .7147. This is a possible Factor Move.
Trading Commentary — A day late, a dollar short
/by Peter BrandtThe comments herein are not applicable to all traders. But to those for whom they are applicable, you will know it.
Four part question:
1 Have you ever had a strong feeling that a market was about to do a certain thing? As an example, let’s say you had a strong feeling the S&Ps were about to rally 30 big points.
2 Next, have you ever then jumped into the market AFTER it started doing what you expected it to do? As an example, let’s say you bought the S&Ps after it rallied 20 points.
3 Next, have you ever then been spooked out of the trade you chased on the first adverse reaction against your position. Going back to our example, you chased a 20 point rally in the S&Ps, then got shaken out on a 10 point reaction.
4 Next, have you ever then watched the market
Factor Report – March 27th
/by Peter BrandtGeneral trading commentary
Novice traders often begin their speculative endeavors with many false assumptions. Of course, the marketplace charges a heavy tuition fee (in the way of trading losses) to correct false assumptions. Once such false assumption is that profits can be made in any and all market environments – a trader just needs to constantly adapt to changing trading environments to figure out how to cash in on the price moves. As an example, a novice day trader or scalp trader may believe that each new day in the S&Ps is a blank slate – he or she just needs to find the formula that will work for that day. Such thinking is faulty and will result in long-term trading frustrations and capital losses.
A trader cannot be successful over an extended period of time without having an organized and systematic process of trade identification, overall risk management, trade sizing, trade management and emotional/psychological stability. The reality is that any given approach to trading will have good times and bad times, good weeks and