Peter Brandt’s Charting Tool
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Recent Posts:
- FREE ChartWizards UpdateMay 4, 2026 - 1:00 pm
Massive bull move coming in grain markets?April 27, 2026 - 6:11 pm
Factor Weekly Update, March 21, 2026 – Sample Weekly ReportMarch 24, 2026 - 3:44 pm
The January Effect 2026 EditionMarch 10, 2026 - 3:22 pm
Brexit Exit Polling by Hedge Funds
/by Peter BrandtThe British government allows large hedge funds to conduct their own exit polling. They are not allowed to release their findings until 22:00 British Summer Time (BST) — there is no prohibition against their trading based on their own Brexit exit polling.
Properly sampled Brexit exit polling in UK voting is extremely accurate (usually within a +/- 1% error). Hedge funds will have a good indication on the Brexit vote by midday BST and will almost certainly have solid data by 18:00 BST. There is an embargo on publishing results until 22:00 BST. Thus, hedge funds will have a lead of many hours over the average market speculator.
Natural Gas Rising
/by Peter BrandtThe dominant chart construction in Natural Gas is the completed 7- month H&S bottom on the daily graph (Oct contract). Note the appearance of a possible 6-day flag on the Oct chart.
Treasury Bonds (T-Bonds) are Constructive
/by Peter BrandtThe dominant chart construction in Treasury Bonds (T-Bonds) is the 10-month symmetrical triangle completed on the weekly continuation graph in late Jan. The Sep T-Bonds futures contract has decisively completed a 4-month inverted H&S pattern on the daily graph. The advance this past week also completed the 4-month congestion zone on the daily continuation graph (not shown). Factor (see premium service here) is long the Sep contract. Stops have been advanced to just below Wednesday’s low.
Coffee Futures are Brewing
/by Peter BrandtCoffee Futures are brewing again. Historically, the Coffee market has been a yo-yo — major Coffee bull markets followed by major bear markets, as shown by the quarterly graph. The market has been trading in an area of historical support.
Simple Trade Management
/by Peter BrandtI have absolutely no control if the next trade or series of trades will be profits or losses. However, with a proper Trade Management process, I know that I only have control over:
The patterns I identify as trading opportunities – do they meet a certain standard?
The orders I enter – is my order entry processes consistent with conducting trading as an organized business enterprise?
Leverage and sizing – (Risk Management) am I risking too much, but also, am I risking enough to make a trade matter if I am right?
Ongoing Trade Management – am I taking the right balance between protecting capital and allowing a trade to fully develop?
Gold is Pausing
/by Peter BrandtWhile I believe Gold has experienced a cyclic bottom, gold is pausing here. I have for several months openly expressed my opinion that the advance would be choppy at best. In recent Factor updates (premium service) I have highlighted the significant problem with the composition of open interest – the commercial interests with a record short position and the large specs (hedge funds and large traders) with a record long position. The Gold market gained way too many friends too early. I am not surprised by the lack of upside follow through in Gold. I might be interested in buying a retest of the falling wedge on the weekly graph in the 1170 to 1180 zone.