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Winning Trades and Losing Trades - Peter Brandt - Factor trading

Winning Trades and Losing Trades

August 4, 2016/by Peter Brandt

I hate to be the bearer of bad news to some of you, but taking losses is the primary job description of a market speculator. If Losing Trades offend you or upset your emotional chemistry, if you consider “being wrong” to be a character fault or a “problem” with your trading approach, if you even think that the marketplace cares what you think or what you do, then market speculation is probably not for you. Trading is mostly an exercise of throwing mud against the wall to see what sticks – and most lumps of mud fall quickly to the floor. I have known many extremely profitable career traders over the years and very few of them have a win rate in excess of 50%. Almost to a person, these traders view taking losses (many losses) as the process of finding winners.

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https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/Winning-Trades-and-Losing-Trades-Peter-Brandt-Factor-trading.jpg 828 1333 Peter Brandt https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpg Peter Brandt2016-08-04 10:45:502016-08-04 10:48:21Winning Trades and Losing Trades
Cotton Chart - Peter Brandt - Factor Trading

Cotton Chart

August 1, 2016/by Peter Brandt

The dominant construction on the Cotton Chart continues to be the completed 24-month double bottom on the weekly Cotton Chart. The targets of this bottom are 79.10 (the measured move) and 95.10 (May 2014 high). The Dec contract was launched by a 5- week pennant. Factor is long, having taken partial profits.

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https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/Cotton-Chart-Factor-Trading-Peter-Brandt.jpg 883 1333 Peter Brandt https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpg Peter Brandt2016-08-01 12:54:192016-08-01 12:55:18Cotton Chart

Bottom-line Winners – Junk-Pile Trades

July 21, 2016/by Peter Brandt

Bottom-line winners and junk-pile trades, part 1: How they all contribute to Factor’s trading operations and performance.

Part 2 of this series will focus on Bottom Liners.
Part 3 of this series will focus on the Junk Pile of lesser profits and losers

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https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/top-10-winners.jpg 1071 1333 Peter Brandt https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpg Peter Brandt2016-07-21 10:06:262016-07-21 10:06:26Bottom-line Winners – Junk-Pile Trades
Crude Oil

Crude Oil Descending

July 11, 2016/by Peter Brandt

Crude Oil is descending out of a triangle pattern. The daily graphs show clear signs of topping in the energy markets. The daily graph of Sep RB Gas has completed an 11-week H&S top pattern with a target of 1.3237.

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https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Crude-Oil-Descending-Peter-Brandt-Factor.jpg 888 1333 Peter Brandt https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpg Peter Brandt2016-07-11 16:15:172016-07-11 16:15:17Crude Oil Descending
Silver Bull Market - Factor - Peter Brandt

Silver and Gold Confirm Bull Market

July 6, 2016/by Peter Brandt

Silver – Despite the fact I have preferred the long side of Silver over the long side of Gold, I have grossly underestimated the power of this Silver trend….Gold – The broadening pattern is typically reversal in nature. Very rarely will a continuation broadening pattern occur….

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https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Gold-Silver-Bull-market-Peter-Brandt-Factor.jpg 888 1333 Peter Brandt https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpg Peter Brandt2016-07-06 10:10:262016-07-06 10:14:01Silver and Gold Confirm Bull Market
CFTC COT (Commitment of Traders) impact on Gold | Peter Brandt 4

Does the current CFTC COT Report forecast a decline in Gold prices?

June 30, 2016/by Peter Brandt

CFTC COT (Commitment of Traders) Report Forecast a Gold Decline?

In recent past, I have cited the CFTC COT (Commitment of Traders) report's record open interest by large specs and record short open interest by commercials as a possible negative for Gold prices. Never one to trust myself, I decided to dig deeper to find out if my claim held water.
In fact, there is no recent evidence that such extremes in commercial shorts and large spec longs are negative factors on subsequent price action.
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https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/CFTC-COT-Commitment-of-Traders-impact-on-Gold-Peter-Brandt.jpg 761 1333 Peter Brandt https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpg Peter Brandt2016-06-30 09:25:222016-06-30 09:50:34Does the current CFTC COT Report forecast a decline in Gold prices?
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