Peter Brandt’s Charting Tool
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Recent Posts:
Primer: Interest Rates & The Fed (+FREE .PDF)December 3, 2025 - 8:30 pm
Loss Aversion: A Mental Trap Every Trader Needs to KnowNovember 19, 2025 - 6:52 pm
Three Day Trailing Stop (Video)October 24, 2025 - 5:25 pm
One Year Later: GE, Classical Charting, and Avoiding Dead MoneyJuly 22, 2025 - 1:01 pm
Trading Futures and Forex related ETF’s is a foolish way to manage trading capital
/by Peter BrandtWhy trade an ETF when the underlying futures contract can be traded.
Trading an ETF tied to an underlying futures or forex market requires far more capital with less profit potential at the exact same level of risk as directly trading the underlying futures or forex contract. Five examples are provided to make my point.
Explaining the Dominant Fundamental Factor
/by Peter BrandtAll day long we witness market “experts,” brokerage firm research analysts, the talking heads on CBNC and Bloomberg and participants in social media (Twitter, private chat rooms, et al) present this fundamental data or that fundamental data as the factors they feel should be driving market prices. In 95% of the cases, the fundamentals presented by these voices are unimportant — the facts may be correct, but the fundamentals behind the facts presented are not “market drivers.”
Traders and analysts develop the opinion that the things they focus on are really important drivers of price.
Cost of Silver production
Fed policy
Employment data
Consumer optimism
Factory production
Rail traffic
Earnings
Corporate, private and government debt trends
Webinar – Factor Trading
/by Peter BrandtLosing to Win
/by Peter BrandtI sometimes sense from email correspondence I receive from the Factor community that there is an obsession in being “Right” when trading, or put another way, concern that their analysis might be “wrong.”
Running the risk of offending, this worry about being right or wrong on a trade or an analysis puts up a major red flag in my mind.
Factor Alert – March 30th
/by Peter BrandtThere are a few charts of interest developing this week.
New Zealand Dollar. This chart appears to be completing a common bottom on the weekly and daily graphs. A decisive close above the Oct 2015 high would complete this base area and establish a target of .7470, although resistance should be expected at the Feb 2015 low of .7147. This is a possible Factor Move.
Trading Commentary — A day late, a dollar short
/by Peter BrandtThe comments herein are not applicable to all traders. But to those for whom they are applicable, you will know it.
Four part question:
1 Have you ever had a strong feeling that a market was about to do a certain thing? As an example, let’s say you had a strong feeling the S&Ps were about to rally 30 big points.
2 Next, have you ever then jumped into the market AFTER it started doing what you expected it to do? As an example, let’s say you bought the S&Ps after it rallied 20 points.
3 Next, have you ever then been spooked out of the trade you chased on the first adverse reaction against your position. Going back to our example, you chased a 20 point rally in the S&Ps, then got shaken out on a 10 point reaction.
4 Next, have you ever then watched the market