NOTE: All future such Premium Reports will NOT be publicly available. To receive or view any of these Premium Reports in the future, you will need to be signed up on our free email list. Please register using the form at the bottom of this report.
Market Review
Factor Moves are currently ongoing in:
Gold
Japanese Yen
USD/NOK
Copper
GBP/CAD
A Factor Move is developing in AUD/NZD. This issue of the Factor also comments on Canadian Dollar, New Zealand Dollar, Australian Dollar and U.S. stock indexes.
Factor Moves in Progress
Copper (daily chart)
There are several observations worthy of note on the daily Copper chart. First, note the premature breakout on Friday, Feb 26. The market broke out of the H&S bottom, but the rally could not hold. Following a premature breakout traders should be on extra alert and jump on a subsequent closing price breakout. Second, the advance and close on Monday, Feb 29 and especially on Tuesday, Mar 1, confirmed the H&S bottom. Both days served as buying opportunities. Third, for all practical purposes the target was met by Friday’s advance. I typically am conservative on determining “measured moves.” Factor is flat, having taken a crazy ride on the long side this past week.
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https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/factor-update.jpg10301955Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2016-03-06 09:51:272016-04-03 21:51:10Factor Trading – March 6th Report
AUD/CAD - This cross flashed a significant sell signalon Friday. I view short AUD/CAD as a potentially rewarding cross in the weeks and months ahead. This is a cross that can be traded in the spot forex market or using futures contract on a one-to-one basis, although such a trade would be over-weighted to CAD.
The longest-term charts show that AUD/CAD have remained in a broad trading range for many years.
The weekly chart displays several patterns worthy of note. The decline in June 2013 completed a 24-month H&S top pattern. The decline from this H&S has queickly turned into a 41-month descending triangle pattern. This is this pattern that most has my attention. I believe that the completion of this descending triangle would result in a decline in AUD/CAD to the low end of the historical price range at .7600.
Examining the chart structures of 2011/2012 with the present period
Classical charting principles at the core represent analog analyses -- that certain price patterns tend to repeat over time with slightly different variations.
An interesting analog situation has developed in the S&Ps. Some technical analysts have declared that the current market construction is analogous to 2011/2012 and will be similarly resolved by a continuation of the dominant bull trend. I completely disagree.
Let’s examine the construction components of each period. The top chart is the S&Ps during the 2011/2112 period. The bottom chart is the current market.
Both periods had a textbook H&S top and, coincidentally, each top was completed in the month of August -- both marked as Stage 1
Both periods quickly met the target of their respective H&S top patterns only to develop a period of extreme volatility -- both marked as Stage 2
Both periods then rallied sharply back into the price zone of the initial H&S top pattern only to develop an other range of volatility -- both marked as Stage 3
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Bear.jpg120195Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2016-02-24 13:01:372016-02-24 13:35:03Is the present decline in the S&Ps a déjà vu of 2011?
British Pound/Swedish Krona price charts displays extremely bearish construction
The weekly chart of $GBP/SEK completed an 11-month H&S top in mid January. This pattern has a price target of 11.18 SEK to 1 GBP.
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https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/short-england-long-sweden.jpg442899Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2016-02-23 16:28:232016-02-23 16:36:41Short England Long Sweden — that is what the forex markets are saying
How do you spell “Disaster?” There are two spellings” AP Moller-Maersk and Sotheby’s This week two companies had some very interesting things to say about their respective markets that have implications far beyond their individual niches. First, AP Moller-Maersk, owner of the largest container shipping company in the world, said it saw, “massive deterioration,” in its […]
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Container-ship-sinking.jpg537900Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2016-02-14 21:10:342016-02-14 21:18:07A chart that everyone stock trader MUST see
Factor Trading – March 6th Report
/by Peter BrandtNOTE: All future such Premium Reports will NOT be publicly available. To receive or view any of these Premium Reports in the future, you will need to be signed up on our free email list. Please register using the form at the bottom of this report.
Market Review
Factor Moves are currently ongoing in:- Gold
- Japanese Yen
- USD/NOK
- Copper
- GBP/CAD
A Factor Move is developing in AUD/NZD. This issue of the Factor also comments on Canadian Dollar, New Zealand Dollar, Australian Dollar and U.S. stock indexes.Factor Moves in Progress
Copper (daily chart) There are several observations worthy of note on the daily Copper chart. First, note the premature breakout on Friday, Feb 26. The market broke out of the H&S bottom, but the rally could not hold. Following a premature breakout traders should be on extra alert and jump on a subsequent closing price breakout. Second, the advance and close on Monday, Feb 29 and especially on Tuesday, Mar 1, confirmed the H&S bottom. Both days served as buying opportunities. Third, for all practical purposes the target was met by Friday’s advance. I typically am conservative on determining “measured moves.” Factor is flat, having taken a crazy ride on the long side this past week.Gold – The Ultimate Charting Market – Report
/by Peter BrandtGold Report – The Ultimate Charting Market
A History of Gold Charts
Free 47-Page Gold Report
AUD/CAD – Chart Developing
/by Peter BrandtIs the present decline in the S&Ps a déjà vu of 2011?
/by Peter BrandtExamining the chart structures of 2011/2012 with the present period
Classical charting principles at the core represent analog analyses -- that certain price patterns tend to repeat over time with slightly different variations.
An interesting analog situation has developed in the S&Ps. Some technical analysts have declared that the current market construction is analogous to 2011/2012 and will be similarly resolved by a continuation of the dominant bull trend. I completely disagree. Let’s examine the construction components of each period. The top chart is the S&Ps during the 2011/2112 period. The bottom chart is the current market.Short England Long Sweden — that is what the forex markets are saying
/by Peter BrandtBritish Pound/Swedish Krona price charts displays extremely bearish construction
The weekly chart of $GBP/SEK completed an 11-month H&S top in mid January. This pattern has a price target of 11.18 SEK to 1 GBP.A chart that everyone stock trader MUST see
/by Peter BrandtHow do you spell “Disaster?” There are two spellings” AP Moller-Maersk and Sotheby’s This week two companies had some very interesting things to say about their respective markets that have implications far beyond their individual niches. First, AP Moller-Maersk, owner of the largest container shipping company in the world, said it saw, “massive deterioration,” in its […]